Well I wasn’t really planning on this, but I’m not doing anything else with my Saturday morning, so I guess I’ll put up a quick preview. I’m gonna change up the format though and see if I like the end result.
TCU heads to Lawrence to take on the Jayhawks in a game of American football. There won’t be any fans at this one, but for once, it’s not because of KU’s abysmal record. The Jayhawks are 0-7 on the season, and have yet to keep an opponent from scoring less than 38 points. Meanwhile, TCU is 3-4 with a win over then top-10 Texas, but with losses to WVU and KSU.
TCU comes in at #58 in the latest S&P+ ratings (127 teams). The Frogs sport the #29 defense but just the #96 offense. On the flip side, Kansas has been abysmal on both sides of the ball at #121 overall, with the #122 offense and #109 defense.
Players to Watch
Max Duggan, SO QB
Duggan is completing 63.7% of his passes this year, but has just 5 TDs opposed to 3 INTs. TCU has been much more of a run-first offense this year, and Duggan also leads the team in rushing attempts and yards. Duggan has converted 6 rushing touchdowns as well.
Darwin Barlow, R-FR RB
Expect TCU to attempt to establish the run game and control the clock by running both Duggan and Barlow. Barlow has just 304 rush yards in TCU’s 7 games, but is averaging 5.7 ypc on 53 attempts.
Garret Wallow, SR LB
Wallow has followed up his 2019 first team All-Big 12 selection by collecting 56 tackles so far, with a sack and two forced fumbles, currently ranking 4th in the Big 12 in total tackles. He leads a stingy TCU defense that currently ranks in the top-50 in FBS in total yards allowed per game at 368.4.
KU’s offense has been so bad this year that the Jayhawks fired their offensive line coach a couple of weeks ago, which totally makes sense when you think about it. (No it doesn’t.)
TCU’s defense shouldn’t have much trouble mauling the KU O-line, meaning unless KU comes out with something completely new, the Jayhawks will likely have a hard time moving the ball.
On the flip side, Kansas has struggled mightily on defense this year, failing to keep a single opponent under 38 points. Note that K-State’s offense is similarly rated by S&P+ to TCU; the Wildcats put up 6.2 yards per play against KU (when they weren’t busy running back kick returns).
I expect TCU’s offense to look good against KU, and I don’t expect Kansas to be able to take advantage. One could make a case that this is a winnable game for Kansas, and it’s not completely unreasonable. But it would likely take multiple TCU turnovers, and probably a couple other things that we just haven’t seen out of Kansas so far in 2020.
I’m just saying, there’s probably better ways to spend your Saturday night. TCU 41, Kansas 17