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Everyone's Favorite, Bubble Talk

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This is the second 'Bubble Talk' I have done, doing one about a month or so ago. Since then plenty has changed so let's take a look at the updated bubble picture.

65 total bids are given out, 34 at-larges and 31 automatic bids. Here are the automatic bids that have already been given out:

Pennsylvania (Ivy)
Winthrop (Big South)
Virginia Commonwealth (Colonial)
Belmont (Atlantic Sun)
Eastern Kentucky (Ohio Valley)
Creighton (Missouri Valley)
Davidson (Southern Conference)

Now there are 24 more automatic bids to be given out. Here are the current top seeds left in each conference's tournament. If the #1 seed has already been knocked out, then whatever the highest seed left is what we will use for this as our 'automatic qualifier'. And they are (with the seed in parentheses)...

ACC: North Carolina (1)
Atlantic Ten: Xavier (1)
Big East: Georgetown (1)
Big Sky: Weber State (1)
Big 10: Ohio State (1)
Big 12: Kansas (1)
Big West: Long Beach State (1)
Conference USA: Memphis (1)
Horizon: Wright State (1)
MAAC: Niagara (2)
MAC: Toledo (1)
Mid-Continent: Oral Roberts Curse (1)
MEAC: Delaware State (1)
Mountain West: BYU (1)
NEC: Central Connecicut State (1)
Pac 10: UCLA (1)
Patriot: Holy Cross (1)
SEC: Florida (1)
Southland: Texas A&M Corpus Christi (1)
SWAC: Mississippi Valley State (1)
Sun Belt: Arkansas State (2)
West Coast: Gonzaga (1)
WAC: Nevada (1)

Well, listing the seeds was a waste of my time but it took an extra 2 seconds so it isn't a big deal. OK, with those teams out of consideration let's take a look at the teams that will make the NCAA Tournament (remember, I have 34 slots to play with assuming a team that is expected to make the Tournament or listed above wins the conference tournament).

Absolute Stone-Cold Locks:

  1. Wisconsin
  2. Texas A&M
  3. Texas
  4. Oregon
  5. Pittsburgh
  6. Louisville
  7. Duke
  8. Virginia
  9. Virginia Tech
  10. Southern Illinois
  11. Butler
  12. Kentucky
  13. Maryland
  14. Vanderbilt
  15. Oregon
  16. Indiana
  17. Tennessee
Pretty Dang Likely:
  1. Marquette
  2. Notre Dame
  3. Villanova
  4. USC
  5. Arizona
  6. UNLV
  7. Boston College
Best Shape of 'Bubbles':
  1. Texas Tech
  2. Michigan State
  3. Stanford
  4. Air Force
  5. Syracuse
Last 5 Teams In:
  1. Georgia Tech
  2. Old Dominion
  3. Illinois
  4. Missouri State
  5. Drexel
Last 5 Teams Out:
  1. Purdue
  2. Kansas State
  3. Alabama
  4. West Virginia
  5. Massachusetts
Next to Last 5 Teams Out:
  1. Mississippi State
  2. DePaul
  3. Michigan
  4. Bradley
  5. Mississippi
I know I screwed up somewhere. Let me know, comment up.

Rock Chalk!