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Goodbye Hawaii - Hello Arkansas

Well, so much for spring optimism.  The KU baseball team limped out of Hawaii after going 2-3 vs. the University of Hawaii-Hilo.  Over the last few years the Vulcans of UHH have been terrible and so these early losses really blindsided me.  I was expecting either four or five wins.

My effort to deconstruct the weekend did nothing to lift my spirits.  The causes for the defeats could not be isolated into any one area.  Kansas struggled at the plate, in the field, and on the mound.  Which, yes, basically means they struggled playing baseball.

Kansas was out-hit by UHH 48 to 42.  On the weekend KU hit .261/.360/.342, which is low but not horrible.  However, when you factor in the opponent and remember that 38% of the KU hits and 45% of their total bases occurring in the 5th game the final tally looks more damning.

KU's pitching staff fared a bit better.  The staff gave up 17 earned runs in five games, for a team ERA of 3.79.  Not bad.  Digging into the numbers reveals some ugliness.  UHH hit .293/.381/.384, so there were Vulcans all over the basepads this weekend.  The team's BB/K ratio was 17/28 (3.6 BB/9 vs. 6.0 K/9).  The only thing the pitching staff did unqualifiedly well was prevent extra base hits.  UHH did collect 13 doubles and one triple, but no homeruns.

While the pitching performance was okay, and the hitting less so, it was fielding that perhaps hurt the team the most.  KU committed 10 errors in five games, allowing 8 unearned runs to score.  These unearned runs were the difference in two of the three KU losses.  Tony Thompson and Robby Price both committed two errors on the weekend.  When the team is struggling to score runs and when the pitching staff is being stretched out over 40+ innings in three days giving the opponent extra outs welcomes misery.

I am not one who subscribes to the philosophy of the "good loss."  I do think the only thing that losing teaches a person is how to lose.  And once you become used to living with defeat, it makes a home inside you.  So, while I will focus on a few positive performances next, overall this weekend has to be seen as a significant blow to the team.  A blow that will not easily be shaken off.  It was the first time the team could play outdoors all year, and they were facing a much looser opponent flush with a wave of surprisingly good new players, and the Jayhawks were dealing with 16 hour flights and jet lag, but those factors do not transform loses into wins.

Onto the positive.  Nick Faunce, in his first weekend as KU's centerfielder and lead-off man, rewarded Coach Price's faith in him by hitting .444/.615/.556 on the weekend.  His 0-2 effort as a base stealer is troublesome, but overall he obviously got his job done this weekend.  Buck Afenir (5-11 w/ 3 RBIs) and Preston Land (4-13 w/ a double, a homerun and 5 RBIs) also had good weekends at the plate.  Sam Freeman pitched very well in his KU debut.  Andres Esquibel, Wally Marciel also provided strong starts.  Brett Bollman made an instant impression out of the bullpen, and Thomas Marcin showed why he might be one of the team's surprise contributors.  Paul Smyth pitched a lot of innings for a closer (4.1 over three games) and did not give up an earned run, but he did allow an unearned run to score, committed an error and hit a batter.

Next up for KU, Arkansas
KU will play a single game at Arkansas on Wednesday.  Game time is 3PM CST.  I had thought there would be an audio webcast for this game but there is no information to confirm this on the KU Baseball website so it looks like these webcasts might not start until this weekend's games.  The game can be followed by gametracker, and if a webcast is in fact offered it can be found here.

Arkansas is off to a 3-0 start.  The Razorbacks traditionally are a baseball powerhouse.  Last year they finished with a 43-21 record and were ranked #17 in the final RPI rankings.  For those who would like to study up on the team 2007 and 2008 Arkansas statistic can be found here.  Arkansas owns a 38-25 lead in the overall series. KU is 0-4 against the Hogs during the Ritch Price era.

The pitching match-up will be Wally Marciel (1-0, 1.50 ERA) vs. James Mahler (0-0, 27.00 ERA).  Mahler is a 6'6 freshman right hander.  He was roughed up in his first collegiate start vs. Wright State on Friday.  So it looks like KU may have an advantage on the mound.  Needless to say, a KU victory in Fayetteville would go a long way to righting the Jayhawk's season.

Be sure to check the comments section below for bkmhoxx' take on professional prospects playing for Arkansas.

Arkansas baseball is famous across the nation for its enormous fan base and game day atmosphere.  Arkansas baseball games often draw 7,000+ fans, only some of which come out to watch the RBI Girls dance on the dugouts in between innings.

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Future Pros for Arkansas
Arkansas usually puts several players into the pros by the end of each years MLB draft. Last year they had several drafted including 2 very good pitchers in Nick Scmidt and Jess Todd as well as 5-6 other guys.
This year should be no different.

The Hogs have one of the nations top 3rd basemen in junior Logan Forsythe. He is a 5 tool player, a great fielder with a plus arm and he has a great eye at the plate and has a lot of patience. He even has some nice power and baserunning skills. He tore it up for USA baseball this summer and last year he batted .347 with 9HR, 55RBI and 18SB. So far this year he is batting .500 and i would expect him to give KU fits tomorrow. He should end up being drafted in rounds 5-10 or higher depending on his power potential.

Aaron Murphree is a senior OFer who is 6'5" tall, very strong, very fast and hits with a lot of power. He is batting .600 with a HR and 6rbi already this season. Another possible draftee depending on his power numbers this year.

Andy Wilkins is a freshman 1B/3B with a ton of upside. He has pure power and excellent strike zone judgement. This guy was a premier recruit and has already shown it, batting .455 with a HR and 6rbi. He was drafted in the 25th round out of HS by the TX Rangers and should be a top 5 pick in 2 years. He will be another dangerous batter for the Jayhawks to pitch to.

Casey Coon is a junior with power and speed, good defense and a plus arm. He batted .312 last year with 9HR and 71rbi. Coon was drafted also.

The pitching staff lost the meat of their team in last years draft but still have plenty of good arms left.

Travis Hill is the closer. He is a senior with a low 90's FB with good movement and he also has a plus breaking ball. He was drafted 42nd last year by Texas and may be someone the Jayhawks have to face if the game is on the line.

As for the starter that the Jayhawks will face. James Mahler is a freshman and yes he did struggle in his debut this year BUT...
He is 6'6", 225 lbs with a 90mph FB and a very wicked knuckle curve. I would expect that he had first game jitters and/or his knuckle curve wasnt moving very much. The Jayhawks can only hope for the same as this kid has a great future ahead of him. He is the son of ex major-leaguer Mick Mahler and the nephew of ex major-leaguer Rick Mahler. This kid was drafted in the 42nd round by the Phillies. Lets just hope he wont have his stuff going tomorrow!

Thats my take.
Go Jayhawks!

Beak Em' Hawks!

by bkmhoxx on Feb 26, 2008 10:31 PM CST reply actions  

0-0 after five innings
KU is hacking.  11 strikeouts in five innings.  Youch.

Nick Faunce has the only KU hit so far.  John Allman has walked twice.

by James Quinn on Feb 27, 2008 4:25 PM CST reply actions  

KU 0 - Ark 2 (after six)
Wally Marciel did all he could.  He kept the Hogs off the scoreboard through 5.2 before surrendering a two out two-run single.  He was pulled for Bollman who finished the inning.

Nothing happening again offensively for KU.  Two hit and two walks through six innings.  Allman has one of the hits and both of the walks.  The Jayhawks have struck out 13 times already!

by James Quinn on Feb 27, 2008 4:57 PM CST up reply actions  

Final Score: Arkansas 2 - KU 1
Marciel got the hard luck loss.  He pitched very well.

Faunce had two hits, Allman a single, two walks and an RBI.  The only other hit was a Buck Afenir double in the 9th.

KU falls to 2-4.  Next up Vanderbilt.

by James Quinn on Feb 27, 2008 6:05 PM CST up reply actions  

wow
Kansas batters struck out 16 times
Arkansas baters struck out only 3 times

KU pitching did a great job against the big bats but unfortunately the KU bats are still in their winter slumber (except for Nick Faunce).

Beak Em' Hawks!

by bkmhoxx on Feb 27, 2008 5:57 PM CST reply actions  

Arkansas fan on KU's performance today.
This is from an Arkansas fan who saw the game.  It is copied from the College Baseball Dugout forum.  Link here.
That third baseman, Thompson, did pretty well in the field. However, he didn't come through for KU at crunch time. When Arkansas got the two RBI single it was a line drive hit almost directly at him. It was at about his elbow maybe a little more than a foot to his left and he barely reacted. Went right by him. Then in the top of the ninth with two outs and the tying run on second, he struck out to end he game. He went 0-4 I think and didn't look too good at the plate. Not many guys for KU did today, that's where they have the most work to do. Pitching was alright and other than the missed line drive by Thompson, nearly flawless fielding. There was one hit Arkansas got that I think should have been an error, but that's it. The outfield made some great catches, they turned a couple of double plays and nearly got a third. The defense saved some runs for the pitchers I'm sure. The pitching was pretty good though. I think there were only 4 hits for each team. If Kansas can get the bats going and work on not striking out so much, they could be very good. Good luck on the rest of the season.

by James Quinn on Feb 27, 2008 9:29 PM CST reply actions  

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