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Around SBN: Roy Nelson Willing to Pay for His Next Opponent's Drug Test

A (semi) Statistical Recap of Texas Tech

The game started quite not to our liking, with Texas Tech actually holding a one point lead with 5:45 left in the first half, but by halftime the lead had ballooned to 15. We were doubling them up with just under 14 minutes left, and from there Kansas cruised to an 81-46 lead.

The offense didn't look great, but ended up scoring almost 1.3 points per possession. It does seem like Kansas shoots better from three when they don't necessarily need to, going 9-21 last night, but I am sure that's equal parts truth and confirmation bias. The best note offensively was the turnover rate, as Kansas turned it over on just 14.3% of its possessions. It's just Texas Tech, but any time you can limit turnovers like that on the road wins will assuredly follow.

But enough about the offense. Let's talk about the ridiculous Kansas defense. They held Tech to just .73 points per possession and an eFG of just 32.4%. For the season the Red Raiders were making nearly 51% of their twos, and against BCS teams they are making around 47% of their twos. Last night they made 37.5% of them. Nearly everyone on the team is a good defender individually, and even the ones who aren't (you know who I mean) are good team defenders. It's time to start thinking about this defense as one of the best in the country and perhaps one of the best of the Bill Self era, as your fearless author noted near the start of the season.

Star-divide

  • Releford didn't set another career high (what a bum!) but still had another good game, with 12 points 2 rebounds and 3 steals. He didn't shoot well from two, but he was able to get to the line a bit to compensate for that and he shot 2-4 from three. I don't think he'll ever shoot well enough to be a true three point threat, but if he shoots it well enough to open up the lane that will help the offense a lot.
  • Robinson had yet another double double, yawn, going 7-9 from two and even made a three to put up 19 points and 12 rebounds. I noted this in the game thread but I think it's time to start viewing him as a potential #1 overall pick next summer, even though I think both Anthony Davis and Perry Jones will end up going before him.
  • I'm officially putting out the APB for Elijah Johnson. Just 2 points, missed both his threes, and had two assists to two turnovers.
  • it's back: THARPE WATCH! It was in garbage time, but he was 3-3 from three and had two assists.
  • Kevin Young quietly had a good game, with 7 points and 7 rebounds.
  • A pair of interesting notes: Kansas moved up to 2 in KenPom with the dominating win and Kentucky struggling with Auburn, and percentage wise they are favored to win every remaining game on their schedule except for one, where they're 50% to win (at Missouri).

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Huh, box score says 3-3

I remember a miss, but I guess I’m crazy. Oh well.

by jayhawk3r on Jan 12, 2012 11:31 AM CST up reply actions  

I remember a miss, too.

Kila's slash for Apr 20 to May 4, 2011, right before he was sent down: .276 / .344 / .448

by SagehenMacGyver47 on Jan 12, 2012 1:54 PM CST up reply actions  

Oddly enough, not all misses count as field goal attempts

There are several situations where a missed shot is not counted as a field goal attempt. 2 situations I know off the top of my head are if you’re fouled in the act of shooting or if the scorekeeper judges that you took the shot to beat the shot clock.

by KSinDC on Jan 12, 2012 3:16 PM CST up reply actions  

huh, never heard that about the shot clock

good for fantasy BBall purposes, though.

Kila's slash for Apr 20 to May 4, 2011, right before he was sent down: .276 / .344 / .448

by SagehenMacGyver47 on Jan 12, 2012 5:32 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm sure we shoot better in high scoring games against crappy opponents

We’d expect crappy opponents to cause better shooting (although this would be more pronounced on 2s than 3s) and we’d expect better shooting to cause high scoring by the Jayhawks.

However, I’m not sure we shoot better when the outcome is not in doubt than when it is.

by KSinDC on Jan 12, 2012 11:37 AM CST reply actions  

I don't think this year's defense is that great

I know Pomeroy has them number 3 in the country right now, and I just have to trust him on that because I haven’t seen that many other teams play this year.

But compared to past teams, I think this team is looking better largely because scoring is down in general (both no. of possessions and points per possession are down), not because we’re playing defense that’s any better.

Right now, our adjD (at 82.5 pts per poss) would rank second in the Bill Self era, just behind the 06-07 team (82.2) and just ahead of the 07-08 team (82.8). But those teams were playing in significantly higher scoring eras, as you can tell by the opponents’ averages:

Opponents’ Offensive Efficiency:
06-07: 106.4 points per possession (48th toughest schedule in country ranked by opponents’ offensive efficiency)
07-08: 107.5 (50th)
11-12: 102.9 (38th)

The numbers for our opponents this year are down because offensive efficiency is down in general this year. I don’t know if that’s because of officiating or talent drain or different equipment or what, but I think any comparison of this year’s team’s offense or defense needs to take into account that offensive efficiency is down in general this year.

by KSinDC on Jan 12, 2012 11:57 AM CST reply actions  

Yes, and I'm not sure how that will affect it

I’m not sure exactly how the Pomeroy adjustment works.

Our schedule so far has been tough relative to past years’ non-conference schedules but quite easy compared to past years’ full year schedules. Plus we don’t have nearly as robust a dataset.

by KSinDC on Jan 12, 2012 12:38 PM CST up reply actions  

Can we talk about EJ for a second?

What happened to this kid stepping into a scorers role for this team? In Big 12 play, he’s averaging 4.6 points, 4 assists, 1.6 turnovers and 5 rebounds a game. His assist to turnover ratio and boards are a positive, albeit he accumulates them very quietly, but this team needs more out of him scoring wise. The kid has turned into a ghost out on the court and sometimes I’ll be watching and not even realize he’s played in the game at all. Thank God Releford has stepped up or we’d be in real trouble.

by De-Freeze on Jan 12, 2012 3:17 PM CST reply actions  

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