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Kansas Football Opponent Prospectus | Northern Illinois

Quick note: Preview was done by AJanzen, due to a technical difficulty I ended up publishing it for him.  Thanks AJ.

Head Coach: Dave Doeren

2010 Record: 11-3 (8-0 MAC)

Returning Starters: 8 offensive, 4 defensive

Key Returning Starter: Chandler Harnish, Sr. (QB)

Newcomers to Watch: Jasmin Hopkins, Sr. (RB); Joe Windsor, So. (DE)

The Northern Illinois Huskies are coming off of one of the best seasons in their program's history, going 11-3 and thumping Fresno State 40-17 in the Humanitarian Bowl. Unfortunately for the Huskies, this success led to their head coach being hired away by a BCS program (as success often does for coaches at non-BCS programs), the Minnesota Golden Gophers. In addition to the loss of their coach, their is substantial turnover at all levels of the defense.

However, the Huskies do return 8 starters on an offense that was pretty good last year, including senior quarterback Chandler Harnish and the entire offensive line. If the Jayhawks want to win this tough early season match up, they will need to match the physicality of the Huskies O-line, and take advantage of a defense integrating quite a few new pieces.

Star-divide

Offense: The NIU offense was one of the most productive in the country last season, averaging 38 points per game, which was good for 12th nationally. They relied pretty heavily on the run, gaining over 3500 yards on the ground as a team. While the Huskies lose a key piece of their rushing attack in RB Chad Spann, his replacement, senior Jasmin Hopkins, looked good in his limited opportunities last year average nearly 10 yards a carry in his 38 attempts. Harnish was also a key part of last years rushing success, gaining 836 yards on the ground (6.1 ypc) along with 7 touchdowns.

Harnish wasn't strictly a running quarterback though, as he passed for 2530 yards and a 64.7% completion rate, all while maintaining a great TD to INT ratio (21/5) and spreading the ball around evenly (the top four receivers all recorded at least 35 catches).

While the Huskies don't look to have a lot of question marks on the personnel side, they are breaking in a new offensive coordinator, Matt Canada, who ran a much more pass-heavy offense than NIU did last year (Canada was IU's coordinator last season). While it's doubtful the Huskies undergo a complete change in offensive philosophy, how the NIU offense adjusts to its new coordinator will be something to watch.

Defense: The Huskies defense was nearly as impressive as its offense last year, ranking 14th nationally in points scored. Unlike the offense though, the Huskies lose a lot of key guys, including all four starting secondary players, sack leader Jake Coffman, both outside linebackers, and middle linebacker Devon Butler, who was lost for the season after getting shot (he is expected to recover fully).

While their is some decent talent to step in for the players lost, linebacker and corner are probably the chief concerns on the Huskies roster. With KU's group of talented young backs, expect a very run heavy approach, and perhaps a couple of deep play action passes to take advantage of some inexperienced corners.

Prediction: Despite the Huskies being a non-BCS opponent, they should probably be expected to win this game. Their offensive line is one of the best units in the country, which is not something a KU fan wants to hear, especially this early in the year.

Still, KU managed to upset a run-heavy non-conference opponent last year, and with an improved LB core, who knows? Add in some major personnel losses on defense for the Huskies, and there is certainly some hope, but head prevails over heart here. I'll say NIU wins, 38-20.

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Thanks for the preview

This was one team I didn’t know a lot about. Now that I do, things don’t look too promising.

It's not that I'm lazy; it's that I just don't care. (#739)

by KRichards on Aug 24, 2011 2:30 PM CDT reply actions  

2010 a little deeper

@Iowa State L27-10, @Illinois L28-22 (where the OC comes from. Was this part of the reason why he switched), Miami (OH) L26-21
vs.
North Dakota W23-17, @Minnesota W34-23 (where the head coach goes? The gophers were also 3-9 in ’10), @Akron W50-14, Temple W31-17, Buffalo W45-14, Central Michigan W33-7, @Western Michigan W28-21, Toledo W65-30, @Ball State W59-21, @Eastern Michigan W71-3

They lost to 2 of 3 BCS schools, and had some HUGE pts padding at the end of the year. 65-30 !?! 59-21!?! 71-3!!??!! Who do they think they are? OU.

by dagger108 on Aug 24, 2011 2:45 PM CDT reply actions  

i wouldn't call it padding...

 In those games with big scores at the end of the season, NIU averaged fewer than 20 passes per game and 40-50 rushes per game. Additionally, 7 or 8 different players had rush attempts in each game. In other words, the starters were pulled and the 2nd and 3rd stringers ran it non-stop over opponent defenses.
 As for losing to Iowa State, Harnish (the starting QB and clear MVP) didn’t play in that game. Illinois was a solid team last year. No shame in losing a close game on the road. NIU beat Minnesota by the same margin that USC did when the Trojans were ranked #18.

by someguy on Aug 27, 2011 3:36 AM CDT up reply actions  

OL vs DL

Winner takes all. If our OL steps up, our RB’s run wild.

I like our chances – better now than before.

by dagger108 on Aug 24, 2011 2:47 PM CDT reply actions  

Agree

that this game will be won and lost in the trenches. I think our offensive line should fare pretty well, but our D-line will more than likely struggle.

Check out my blog!
Follow me on Twitter! @AustinJanzen

by ajanzen on Aug 24, 2011 2:51 PM CDT up reply actions  

I like our LB options and even DB's

relative to a complete overhaul for them.

Also really liking our chance better as I see the padding they did against Toledo, BSU, and EMU. If I remember right, those teams were on par with our NM opponent.

by dagger108 on Aug 25, 2011 12:41 AM CDT up reply actions  

More info

Their new head coach is Dave Doeren (former Wisconsin DC….and previous to that Mark Mangino’s best assistant, IMHO).

Their LBs coach is none other than Kevin Kane (former KU LB most famous for a pick 6 against NU in the game that broke the streak).

They should be familiar with Memorial at the very least.

"No time for questions. No time for games. Start kickin' ass and takin' down the names." - Dave Mustaine.

by Rivethead on Aug 24, 2011 3:10 PM CDT reply actions  

they were a play away from losing to my alma mater

so i have to assume they suck

I write everywhere. You're probably better off following me on twitter

by fetch9 on Aug 24, 2011 3:29 PM CDT reply actions  

i'll say this

if we lose to mcneese state to start off the year, Memorial will be a morgue for the rest of the season…KU really needs to come out strong to keep the fans’ faith…i want to be excited and optimistic with the alleged talent that the team has brought in, but i also seem to remember hype about various players brought in during the terry allen regime.

Not everything that counts can be counted, and not everything that can be counted counts."

--Albert Einstein

by Home Run Tony Cogan on Aug 24, 2011 10:39 PM CDT reply actions  

Completely agree and also the reason I didn't do season tickets

I need KU to show me a little progres before I show them some green. I would be happy with 3 wins as long as we don’t get throttled by our in state rival by 97 points

It's not that I'm lazy; it's that I just don't care. (#739)

by KRichards on Aug 25, 2011 11:41 AM CDT up reply actions  

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