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First Thoughts: Colorado Buffaloes (the sequel)

When the Jayhawks made the trek west to Boulder, Co. back on February 3rd, it was not supposed to result in a near-disastrous, overtime escape against the Buffaloes.  It was supposed to be an easy game after a highly emotional previous week with games against rivals Missouri and Kansas State.  But, what the Jayhawks found from the start was that the Buffs weren't going to just lay down and play dead.

At first glance back at the boxscore from that night, it is hard to remember why Kansas struggled so much.  Colorado shot terrible from the field (37.5 percent) and from three point range. (29.6 percent)  Offensive rebounds were even (twelve a piece) and Kansas won the turnover battle. (eleven to twelve)  So, how exactly did that near-disaster happen?  Well, if memory serves me right, it was two big things: Xavier Henry was nearly a ghost, (three points on zero-of-four shooting in just seventeen minutes) and a combined nine-for-23 (39.1 percent) free throw shooting from the three bigs.  Particularly, it was key free throws down the stretch that Kansas could not convert into points that gave the Buffs second, third and fourth lives.  And, that is something that you just cannot do on the road.  Luckily talent prevailed in overtime and the Jayhawks escaped with a 72-66 victory.

Fast forward to today and depending on who you ask, the Jayhawks are either playing a million times better or as terrible as that night in Boudler.  I'm of the former opinion.  Keep in mind, though, that I have taken over the role of eternal optimist around here, so it's probably somehwere in the middle, but still closer to being far better.  The Jayhawks pulled out another thrilling road battle on Monday night against Texas A&M to reach 11-0 in Big 12 play and remain three games clear the rest of the conference.  Since the first meeting, Colorado has gone 1-2 and dropped to tenth in the Big 12 with a 3-8 record.

However, things have to look a bit brighter for Colorado fans these days, as they have the sensational freshman Alec Burks healthy and back in the starting lineup.  If you remember, Burks suffered a sprained left knee the game before Kansas and missed out on the upset bid.  It's a good thing, because with as close as that game was, one can't help but think that Burks could have put them over the top and gotten the job done.  It's amazing what losing one key player could do to a team.  It would be the equivalent to Kansas playing without Sherron Collins for a game.  Not that he is the same type of player or even as talented at this point in his career, but the best player on his team.

Star-divide

Backcourt Comparison

Kansas - Sherron Collins, Tyshawn Taylor, Xavier Henry, Brady Morningstar and Tyrel Reed
Colorado - Cory Higgins, Alec Burks, Nate Tomlinson, Dwight Thorne II and Levi Knutson

Kansas Colorado
PPG 44.7 52.1
RPG 12.8 14.8
SPG 6.1 5.5

Frontcourt Comparison

Kansas - Cole Aldrich, Marcus Morris, Markieff Morris, Thomas Robinson and Jeff Withey
Colorado - Marcus Relphorde, Austin Dufault, Shane Harris-Tunks, Casey Crawford and Keegan Hornbuckle

Kansas Colorado
PPG 36.0 25.2
RPG 26.6 12.9
BPG 6.1 1.5

 

Apply what you learned the first time.  The Buffs rely heavily upon their guards to produce points and too much to rebound.  In the first matchup, lots of missed shots got past the Kansas bigs around the basket, and long rebounds usually go to the shooting team.  It was great to hold them to such a low percentrage shooting, but you just have to grab those rebounds.  No second chance points, please.  Adding in Burks will make Colorado a completely different team from the squad the Jayhawks faced in the first meeting.  While he doesn't have the best ball handling abilities and doesn't drive to the basket with great frequency, what he does best is creating space to make his own shot.  Sound like something we wish a certain 6'6" freshman could do?  You can almost count on the fact that one of Burks or Higgins will have a big game.  What Kansas (and Bill Self specifically) teams are notorious for is making a team one dimensional and allowing one guy to try and beat them alone.  It can't be done.  Damion James couldn't do it this year, Richard Roby could never do it for the Buffs and Kevin Durant couldn't do it, as amazing as he was.  It took a great support effort from Bill Walker for Michael Beasley to beat Kansas.  One of the two will go off.  The other must be limited.  There lies the greatest key to the game.

 

Informative Colorado Links

The Ralphie Report

KenPom Page

StatSheet Page

Player rotation from their Yahoo! team page:

Usual Starters—F Austin Dufault, F Marcus Relphorde, G Alec Burks, G Cory Higgins, G Nate Tomlinson. Key Subs—F Trey Eckloff, G Dwight Thorne, G Levi Knutson, F Casey Crawford.

 

Against Common Opponents

Kansas Colorado
Nebraska @, 84-72 vs. W, 75-64 vs. W, 72-60
Baylor vs. W, 81-75 vs. W, 78-71
Iowa State @ W, 84-61 vs. W, 73-59 @ L, 63-64
Missouri vs. W, 84-65 vs. L, 66-84
Kansas State @ W, 81-79 (OT) vs. L, 81-87 @ L, 51-68
Texas @ W, 80-68 @ L, 86-103
Texas A&M @ W, 59-54 @ L, 63-67

Comparing the Coaches

   Bill Self
Jeff Bzdelik
Career Summary
NCAA Tourneys 11 1
NCAA Tourney Champions 1 0
Final Fours 1 0
Conf Tourney Champions 4 0
Draft Picks 11 0
Career Record
Overall Record 399-145 (0.733) 108-102 (0.514)
Conference Record 175-52 (0.771) 36-54 (0.4)
NCAA Tourney Record 24-10 (0.706) 0-1 (0.0)
Close Record 62-56 (0.525) 23-31 (0.426)
Blowout Record 152-21 (0.879) 33-17 (0.66)
Overtime Record 15-10 (0.6) 2-5 (0.286)
Career Team Stats
Field Goal Pct 0.472 0.470
Free Throw Pct 0.693 0.729
3-pt Field Goal Pct 0.366 0.378
Points per game 76.0 64.7
Rebounds per game 38.3 27.4
Assists per game 16.7 13.6
Turnovers per game 15.2 12.1
Fouls per game 19.4 16.5

 

Denver's more statistically inclined preview to come tomorrow morning...

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Comments

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I think a key to this game will be offense

Lets open up the game with some good balance – looks inside for Marcus and the Cole Troll, maybe knock down a few threes and go from there.

We faced a tough defense in AandM so that offensive performance was warrented, but against Defection State we just strait up missed open shots all game long which allowed them to stay with us until we finished them off with that 20-3 run. I’m looking for Sherron, Brady, Relly Ice, etc to get their swag going this game, nail some threes and lets get that offense back in gear.

by KU Grad 08 on Feb 19, 2010 9:33 AM CST reply actions  

I feeling like this one gets out of hand early

Its been a while since the last game that was like that, and I’m sure these guys are ready to play loose and free and home after all these tough road games we’ve been having. I think we’ll win by 25+.

by 2.1 seconds left on Feb 19, 2010 9:36 AM CST reply actions  

God I hope so

My health cannot take many more nail-bitters. I’m aging like I got Hutchinson-Gilford Progeria syndrome

by KU Grad 08 on Feb 19, 2010 9:39 AM CST up reply actions  

New Papa

It will be interesting to see how Papa Sherron does. My hypothesis is that, after his trip to Chi-town to see and hold his new baby, that he will be the renewed leader that we have all been missing for the last couple weeks. Sort of like Cole after coming out from under the stress of concern for his gramma. Complete opposite ends of the life spectrum – same stress.

That and a few (successful) FT’s will go a long way.

by dagger108 on Feb 19, 2010 11:32 AM CST reply actions  

CU is going to get embarrassed tomorrow

that I can assure you. Self is starting TT for one reason…run, run, run, and run some more! I have a feeling there are going to be at least 2 Top 10 dunks in this game – by KU of course.

by MitchumMan on Feb 19, 2010 2:21 PM CST reply actions  

According to my family in Colorado, Burks is the real deal. With his size, I would imagine that X will be guarding him a good deal of the time. Should be a real challenge for him. He is really skinny though, so maybe Brady and Tyshawn can be physical with him.

I think this game will be a bit more difficult than a lot of people are saying. We’ve shown a nice ability to go on runs the last couple of games- that will be a key, IMO. If we can put a 20-2 run or something on them, then it should be game over (unless the team gets lackadaisical).

I predict a win in the 7-12 point range. And we better not lose our homecourt winning streak to freaking Colorado.

"Here are our top priorities: recruit, beat Missouri, recruit, win the North, recruit, win the Big 12, and in most cases if you win the Big 12 then you're playing for a National Championship. And then we're going to recruit."

by KennyGregoryRockThaCradle on Feb 20, 2010 1:11 AM CST reply actions  

With Burks back it should be a competitive game

I predict KU 86 Colo 75

He’s always open. He catches a lot of balls. He’s un-guardable, no matter how old he is

by WarWolf on Feb 20, 2010 11:55 AM CST reply actions  

I just hope we win today and monday

Which mathmatically gives us the big12 title. Worst case scenario after that is a tie, and KSU has to beat us in the Phog to get that (and not drop another game and they still have mizzou again and who knows with them cats)

by KU Grad 08 on Feb 20, 2010 1:28 PM CST reply actions  

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