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Did Mangino Leave the Cupboard Bare?

With the bye week RC's normal preview will be waiting until next Tuesday so with that a little front page promo for Penguin. I think this brings up some interesting discussion myself and it's certainly an area with some widely varying opinions on reality. Thanks for the contribution Penguin.

Ku_fbc_ou_nk26_t640_medium

via KUSports.com

I've posted a couple of things on this subject on threads recently, but I wanted to explain my position a little more in-depth...

Over the last couple of days, I'm not sure there's a cliche being thrown around Lawrence more than "the cupboard is bare" (ok, maybe that and "legalize it").  General perception of the football team right now is that Mangino simply left us nothing after Reesing, Meier, Sharp, Briscoe and Stuckey left.  Moreover, I'm routinely hearing that Mangino failed to capitalize on the team's success in '07 and '08, and couldn't use it  to land any solid recruits.  I get that.  We were good and now we suck, and we need someone to blame.

Star-divide

The problem is that this viewpoint ignores a couple of very important facts about recruiting.  One is that recruiting success typically trails on-field success by one to two full years' recruiting cycles.  To illustrate, we already had half our 2011 class orally committed before week one of this season.  That's how it works in modern football.  Our performance on the field in 2010 will have almost no effect on the 2011 recruiting class, since most of these kids have a pretty good idea of what they will do.  Sure, if we go 2-10 we may lose one or two commits, but by and large the recruiting class is what it is already, since recruits base their decision off far more than the weekly ups or downs of a team during their senior year.

Obviously, the 2008 recruiting class (this year's Juniors and redshirt Sophomores) was the same way.  The next year's talent we were pursuing (and had a chance at) didn't change based upon our record in 2007.  The kids it would have affected were the high school sophomores and juniors still in the recruiting process, and still narrowing down their prospective schools.  For them, seeing a 12-1 season would have a major impact, because their choices are still more open, and their opinions of the teams are still forming.

That's why recruiting experts caution fans to wait a class or two before expecting results from solid seasons on the field.  The swell in recruiting KU fans are looking for wouldn't be evident in our uperclassmen.  They were watching KU struggle for bowl eligibility during their recruiting process, and their talent level is about what you'd expect.

The problem we are seeing right now is that Mangino had a couple of inexplicably mediocre recruiting classes after several years of finding diamonds in the rough like Reesing, Meier, Briscoe, Stuckey, Talib, McClinton, etc.  What we're seeing in this team's juniors and seniors is the result of our recruiting success falling back to earth after several overachieving classes, not Mangino failing to capitalize on 2007.

The frustrating truth is, we don't yet know how Mangino did in using the Orange Bowl season to his advantage.  That will only be evident in the '09 and '10 classes.  If you want to judge him in that regard, you can't look at Capra, Wilson, Harris, Dudley, Barfield, the Johnsons, etc.  You have to look at Bradley McDougald, James Sims, Kevin Young, Keba Aghostino, Jordan Webb, DJ Beshears, Chris Omegie, Huldon Tharp, Toben Opurum, Keeston Terry, and a bunch of guys who haven't seen the field yet.  And the fact is we can't judge them yet because the sample size is too small.  Few players stand out in their freshman and sophomore years.

The furthest I'm willing to go on Mangino's post-'07 recruiting efforts is that he didn't land anyone who turned into an immediate impact player (although a case could be made for Huldon Tharp last year).  Beyond that, the jury still has to be out, unless you're willing to start judging every recruiting class based on their performance as freshmen.

Things are bad, but let's watch these classes mature before we write off the entire roster as a squandered opportunity.

I realize I'm on an island in feeling this way, so please discuss, criticize, mock, degrade, etc.  I'm interested to see if there's anyone out there who agrees with my perspective on this.

Comment 37 comments  |  4 recs  | 

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Great stuff here...

I’ve got some thoughts myself but I’m going to hold off and digest a little of what others have to say first. Really good fanpost though and appreciate the effort.

Questions, Comments? email me at denverjhawk@hotmail.com
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by Owen on Oct 4, 2010 6:43 PM CDT reply actions  

I see what you are saying but

Should we not be better. We are truly staring down the face of 2-10 and more humilating defeats. I expected that at least those classes would have given us competitve football, but clearly that may not be the case. I am willing to see how well HCTG can recruit since he emphasized that the most at his hiring.

by jhawki on Oct 4, 2010 7:43 PM CDT reply actions  

for what it's worth...

he was out recruiting or at least watching HS practices today in KC so it’s good to see he’s taking full advantage of the bye week.

Questions, Comments? email me at denverjhawk@hotmail.com
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by Owen on Oct 4, 2010 8:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

I said this earlier and I will say it again

THE absolute biggest difference in terms of the talent on our team is the lines. Our last couple recruiting classes have seen us stock up too much on DBs, WRs and RBs while ignoring the trenches. As a result, now we have 10 running backs and WRs but no one to block for them. When we were good we had developed a very solid offensive and defensive line, with a few difference makers on both sides (Collins, Rodriguez, McClinton for example) surrounded by very servicable guys. Now we have no one. Both lines absolutely suck. And if your weakest points are on OL and DL – well, you are already in trouble. As critical as I have been of Gill, I do appreciate him going out and finding 20 OL signatures because that is what we need. In the end Mangino failed to both recruit and develop average to above average lineman the past couple years (and LB) and thats that.

Really, a lot coaches generally fall into two categories: Guys who get decent recruits but develop them and build them up (diamonds in the rough as you mentioned) and guys who can bring in the difference maker recruits and win on talent.

Mangino was part of this first group. He constantly got 2 and 3 star recruits and developed them into good players and/or stars. Snyder at KSU is like this too. The cats recruiting classes lately won’t blow you away, but he develops players and fits them into his system.

Now GIll looks more like the second type. I’m starting to think he won at Buffalo that year simply because he infused the program with talent. Which made me excited about him coming to KU, I thought he might bring in some guys to take us to the top. I don’t think he can develop the 2 and 3 star guys as well as Mangino (one of the best) so he needs to get solid depth and playmakers. And not just a few guys. Remember Ron Prince? He got heralded recruits like Josh Freeman and never stocked up on line talent as well. As a result he never beat KU (and got murdered in his last game against us) and was out quick.

What makes me nervous is that Gill isn’t roping in any program changing talent yet. He may, but if he brings in the talent level Mangino did, then we are in trouble because few are as good as the fat man as developing the 2 and 3 star guys.

It is all about developing talent and depth at line and keeping a system in place where guys can come in, develop and then contribute as juniors and seniors. Its where our problems start and until properly addressed, we will fail to contend.

Shit happens when you win championships

by Andrew Clark on Oct 4, 2010 8:48 PM CDT reply actions   1 recs

A big difference between Gill and Mangino

is in what they emphasize. Mangino loved the guys who were either a step slow or a few inches too short, but were damn good football players nonetheless. Mike Rivera, James McClinton, Brandon McAnderson, Jon Cornish, Marcus Henry, Joe Mortensen…the list goes on and on. It’s been obvious to me from day one that Gill is big on speed, size, and athleticism. Opurum to LB, Oguntodu and Barfield starting, DJ Beshears’ time at RB. These are all moves to get speed and athleticism on the field. It will be interesting to see if Gill’s philosophy holds up, or if he succumbs to the generally accepted idea that KU football just doesn’t attract enough high-caliber athletes with great 40 times to populate an entire team.

by PenguinHawk on Oct 4, 2010 9:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

The depth we don't have

The fact of the matter is that KU has never had, may never have the ability to fill in the gaps caused by injuries which the elite BigXII, SEC, BigTen schools do.

The 2007 team getting twelve wins was a result of two things:
. . . close wins over the bottom half of the South and down years for NU and KSt
. . . very few injuries to regular players – the linemen as well as the skill players.

This year, the injury bug has bitten hard and that aspect of “not meeting expectations” has been almost entirely ignored by the press coverage as well as bloggers here and elsewhere.

RRROOOOCK CHAAAALLLK! JAAAAYYYHAAAAWWWK! KAAAAYYY UUuuuUU!

by KU62 on Oct 5, 2010 8:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

while injuries have hit us pretty hard

I don’t buy that a healthy Huldon Tharp, Brad Thorson, and Jeff Spikes would reshape this team. The injuries don’t explain away communication errors, special teams gaffes, personnel mismanagement, etc. I think that’s why it isn’t getting mentioned as much.

by PenguinHawk on Oct 6, 2010 8:05 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

The last several classes

have been woefully short on OL & DL recruits, and then we have lost several, especially OL.

by dagger108 on Oct 5, 2010 1:40 AM CDT up reply actions  

Agreed

I can’t help but think how different our OL might be with Ian Wolfe at RT and/or a Ben Lueken still around.

It would be different. Better? I don’t know, but it couldn’t really be worse could it? No way.

build a damn football program, beat some ass, and get on tv more.

by Rivethead on Oct 5, 2010 7:30 AM CDT up reply actions  

with Lueken I think it helps...

with Wolfe in the state he developed, nonfactor. If Wolfe had developed the way we all thought he would…big help.

Questions, Comments? email me at denverjhawk@hotmail.com
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by Owen on Oct 5, 2010 8:16 AM CDT up reply actions  

I'm not so sure

a non-factor Wolfe (based on the limited snaps we saw last year) isn’t an improvement over a gimpy slow Thorson.

build a damn football program, beat some ass, and get on tv more.

by Rivethead on Oct 5, 2010 9:04 AM CDT up reply actions  

+1 all around, but definitely for this:
biggest difference in terms of the talent on our team is the lines

It’s been mentioned, but it is the top of the list for what’s missing on this year’s team. Mangino got by b/c King Reesing hardly needed an O-line with his crazy escapability. HCTG doesn’t have that to bail him out.

The only people who really know where [the edge] is are the ones who have gone over it.

by SagehenMacGyver47 on Oct 5, 2010 1:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

KU Grad, normally I think a lot of your posts are just you talking for the sake of talking, no coherent point.

And honestly, I think its good for the site, but I tend to skip reading them from time to time.

THIS, on the other hand, is well thought-out and well written. For the most part, I also agree with it, but that’s not really my point, I would have enjoyed it even if I thought it was crap. Just wanted to say great comment/insight.

by play4'ships on Oct 6, 2010 6:47 PM CDT up reply actions  

Thank you

Every now and then I have my moments…I think

Shit happens when you win championships

by Andrew Clark on Oct 6, 2010 7:18 PM CDT up reply actions  

Combination of things

’06 class which could have been our redshirt senior group.has had very little success in terms of player development. Reesing and Sharp would certainly be considered a success but obviously they played from day one.

The only ones left from that group are:
Capra – Average HS LB trying to play guard, he’s done well….but
Bradyley Dedeaux, Dakota Lewis and Tetravian Ingram – never developed
Phillip Strozier – decent role player
Olaitan Oguntodu – wasted career, should have been playing much earlier.

Big losses in this group
Max Onyegbule – screwed on an extra year of eligibility
Jamal Greene – changes the d-line, but obviously he made some poor choices
Ian Wolfe, Carl Wilson, John White, Anthony Webb, Jason Thompson, Xavier Rambo, John Marshall, D’Marcus Lang and Blake Beutel all left at one point or another and all fell well short of expectations. These were classic Mangino guys but they didn’t succeed and that left this class a total bust if it wasn’t for a guy like Reesing.

2007

This is your senior and rs junior group and for a program like ours you’d hope this could provide your corps.

Gone for good reasons:
Dezmon Briscoe – great pickup no doubt about it.

Injured:
Jeff Spikes – If Spikes is around, I’m guessing Thorson slides inside where his broken foot isn’t causing him as much grief
Rell Lewis – Gives us a decent backup as it’s clear that Sands and Quigley are both hurt and/or not performing.

Gone for other reasons:
Carmen Boyd Anderson – He was supposed to be James Sims before we had James Sims

Playing:
Johnathan Wilson – Not a #1 receiver, nothing against him…he just isn’t it. Best year for him he was the #3.
AJ Steward – Somethings missing here he should be a factor. Injured now but he could have been used better.
Justin Springer – He is what he is, very good against the run, not the best in pass coverage.
Ryan Murphy – This is another one you’d expect to pan out but it just hasn’t, great athlete but can’t get on the field.
Jake Laptad – Like Springer, he is what he is…a strong side end but not a pass rusher of any kind.
Richard Johnson Jr – He’s done pretty well and I’d say he’s overachieved over his career.
Jeremiah Hatch – The only non-converted player on the o-line playing his natural position. He’s done well.
Chris Harris – in an ideal world Harris is our Nickel corner/safety.
Patrick Dorsey – undersized
Anthony Davis – bust
Isiah Barfield – Should have been at corner from day one. He has the athleticism for it, but has been moved several times.

Decent group, but not a very good foundation for what you’d hope would be the teams strength.

2008

Last year I’m going to look at because I still contend that Kansas would be at it’s best when groups from the top three classes are making the major contributions.

Gone:
Jocques Crawford – could have played this year, big mess.
Ben Leuken – another guy that makes this o-line much better.
Nick Plato – Not sure he wanted to play football
Sean Ransburg – Good athlete but just had some bad luck.

Injured/out:
DJ Marshall – Tough story glad he’s healthy, but as a defensive end this was certainly a position of need that didn’t work out.

Playing:
Tim Biere – good contributor, I’ll take Biere as a good pickup.
Greg Brown – has had struggles, but he’s an athlete. Would have been real nice to have him at CB and Harris at Nickel/S
Rod Harris – pretty good rapper but maybe not the best receiver
Tanner Hawkinson – seems like he might still be a year away.
Trevor Marrongelli – I was high on him headed into the year, but something seems to be missing right now.
Darius Parish – if he wants to be here…he can be big for the d-line
Daymond Patterson – We see what he can do, he’s good, but it feels like Okie State has 8 Pattersons.
Kale Pick – Only one QB can play so no fault here
Corrigan Powell – disappearing act
Josh Richardson – risk that didn’t pan out
Lubbock Smith – looked damn good last year but Keeston Terry is pushing for the minutes.
John Williams – Strong but seems slow at DT.
Duane Zlatnik – like Hawk he might just be a year away.

Out of those three years it feels like there have been a good amount of defections, misses and guys still a step or two away. Each year looks to have gradual improvement. Problem is there just isn’t enough depth and some of the guys that are still around just don’t represent top level talent in the Big 12.

Questions, Comments? email me at denverjhawk@hotmail.com
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by Owen on Oct 4, 2010 8:52 PM CDT reply actions  

There is most a good 2-deep at KU.

It is just that we’re missing a few too many backups and starters. That means that an injured player is forced into the lineup before he is completely healed. A winded player must stay in the game b/c the drop off to the reserve is too great. Instead of the reserve coming in to give the starter a break for a down or series, the reserve is forced to start b/c the starter left the team.

by dagger108 on Oct 5, 2010 1:45 AM CDT up reply actions  

Maybe MM's tru legacy

is the number of players that left the team, tho there was a handful that didn’t want to be a part of what Gill was planning.

On top of all that is the fact that we’re seeing the full brunt of the reduced scholarships from that staff’s indiscretions. Wasn’t it 3 scholies a year? Was it reduced exposure time to lure recruits as well?

by dagger108 on Oct 5, 2010 1:48 AM CDT up reply actions  

I don't remember the full penalty, but yes the probation

is a factor that often over looked today. So props for bringing it up.

Damn you Monroe Weekly.

build a damn football program, beat some ass, and get on tv more.

by Rivethead on Oct 5, 2010 7:36 AM CDT up reply actions  

You mention Carmon Boyd Anderson

but wasn’t Donte Bean in the same class? Another James Sims before we had James Sims.

build a damn football program, beat some ass, and get on tv more.

by Rivethead on Oct 5, 2010 7:35 AM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah we stockpiledo n good young RBs

Then ran Jake Sharp (even when he was hurt) 30 times a game.

Problem was Sharp was always THE guy, then Crawford and next Opurum were THE future guy, so the young backs all broke out

Shit happens when you win championships

by Andrew Clark on Oct 5, 2010 8:15 AM CDT up reply actions  

CBA...

left in a year where he could have moved into being THE guy though. He could have been a big help in 2008.

Questions, Comments? email me at denverjhawk@hotmail.com
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by Owen on Oct 5, 2010 8:18 AM CDT up reply actions  

True

But in 2008 we had Sharp, Crawford and Quigley, and all three may have been ahead of CBA. Then you look at incomming recruits, and there is a 4 star RB whos coming in (Opurum). He likely said screw it, I’m 4th string I’m out.

Was it a dumb call on his part? Absolutely. But thats likely what happened.

Shit happens when you win championships

by Andrew Clark on Oct 5, 2010 8:24 AM CDT up reply actions  

I don't know that Crawford or Quigley were definitely in front of him...

he left one day into camp and given Quigley’s track record with Mangino and the fact that Crawford had literally JUST showed up on campus because he was a late grad, you’d have to think CBA was maybe 2, 3 at worst in my opinion.

Questions, Comments? email me at denverjhawk@hotmail.com
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by Owen on Oct 5, 2010 8:47 AM CDT up reply actions  

It was pretty tough for CBA

to overcome Crawford’s 2,000 yard season…

There is no red like Chiefs red.

by labbadabba on Oct 5, 2010 9:41 AM CDT up reply actions  

"To illustrate, we already had half our 2011 class orally committed before week one of this season. That's how it works in modern football."

You seem to be taking Turner’s recruiting as the norm. Go back and read some of the discussion from this June. Plenty of comments about how we have twice as many recruits this year as any time in memory.

Texas may have its class completed before the school is even out for the spring, but that’s not KU. Most of our recruits have come on board after the season was over – Jan/Feb.

The OB definitely had a positive influence on recruiting, as did the improvement in the facilities, even if that isn’t completely realized yet. The real issue IMO is that MM had been here long enough, and run off enough coaches and players, that the word was out on his demeaning, beligerent behavior, and we just couldn’t convince enough solid recuits to get and stay on board.

by dagger108 on Oct 5, 2010 1:59 AM CDT reply actions  

Early commitments are becoming a trend across all schools

But even if we only had a handful of early commits in ‘07, we still wouldn’t have been landing recruits on a different plane that year. It’s just too late in the recruiting process to see those kinds of immediate returns.

As for Mangino’s rep hurting him, it’s possible, but since, at least according to the recruiting services, we were recruiting at a higher level those years, I tend to doubt it had a huge impact.

by PenguinHawk on Oct 5, 2010 7:53 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

I believe one place Mangino's rep hurt us...

was in the state of Kansas. We missed on a lot of guys that are doing very well at major programs and we didn’t get a very long look. Now maybe they still end up going elsewhere but I have heard and do believe that his reputation hurt us in this capacity.

Questions, Comments? email me at denverjhawk@hotmail.com
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by Owen on Oct 5, 2010 8:20 AM CDT up reply actions  

Perfect example of this:

The DE on Iowa that’s from Lawrence and will be a first rounder in next year’s draft. Not sure if he played with Mangino’s son, but it’s a small town- news of MM’s general dickishness had to be getting to him.

As for the overall talent debate, I feel like we’re undersized at every position. I think Mangino was willing to sacrifice size for speed (since he felt like he couldn’t get both), and that worked for a little bit. But you can’t be massively outweighed on your o-line by every other team in your conference and expect greatness.

When South Dakota State manhandles you on the line of scrimmage with their superior size, something is fundamentally flawed.

by KennyGregoryRockThaCradle on Oct 6, 2010 12:59 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

Christian Ballard

definitely didn’t play with Mangino’s son. Different high schools plus big age difference. Ballard was a highly recruited TE in high school and I’m not sure how much Mangino had to do with him leaving or not. Think it had more to do with him wanting a change from Lawrence, no proof of this, though.

by I need more Esteban on Oct 6, 2010 10:28 AM CDT up reply actions  

Actually

I’m pretty sure there is proof. If you go back and look at some of the comments Christian made, he was pretty open about wanting to get out of Lawrence to experience somewhere else. That’s not uncommon.

But it’s more fun to blame it on the fat guy.

build a damn football program, beat some ass, and get on tv more.

by Rivethead on Oct 6, 2010 11:35 AM CDT up reply actions  

I'm in agreement with the point of this post

Since game one I’ve felt that this would be a season to throw out the window and the real judgment of this staff begins next season. I think after next season, we’ll really start to know more in what we have in Coach Gill and even more if Mangino capitalized on the Orange Bowl year in recruiting.

If alot of the top rated guys that we got in 2008 and 2009 aren’t seeing the field and making contributions then he truly missed the boat. You can talk about coaching changes and changes in philosophy all you want too but the fact is that talent always wins out. And if we’ve got any, it will show itself eventually.

by I need more Esteban on Oct 5, 2010 9:46 AM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Talent's not great and not bad,

right now the schemes suck. It’s going to take Alabama level talent to cover that up.

Glad I came, just wish I hadn't stayed so long.

People ask me what I do in winter when there’s no baseball...Rock Chalk Talk

by Warden11 on Oct 5, 2010 9:50 AM CDT reply actions  

I know so little in what ..

really happens inside the recruiting process, but I find it hard to believe that Gill doesn’t know that a couple of 55-7 games leaves you finishing in second place with a lot of commits. And second place on a committment is no better than 100th, you lose.
It’s possible that age and cynicism have overtaken me, but what does Gill tell a 17-18 year old kid that will make him believe that this is going to get substantially better soon? I guess my point is that I believe Gill would have signed with Nebraska if Don Fambrough had been the coach there and Tom Osborne had been the coach at Kansas. What can he do to change that in the future?

by Red Lion on Oct 5, 2010 10:37 AM CDT reply actions  

"what does Gill tell a 17-18 year old kid that will make him believe that this is going to get substantially better soon?"

Gill: “Son this is why we need you at Kansas. We feel you will have a realistic shot at immediate playing time with your skills.”

Kid: “The sooner I get on the field, the sooner the NFL scouts will see what I can do”

Gill: “That’s true, and we have a coaching staff that can help refine your raw skills and really showcase them to the scouts”

Or something like that…….

build a damn football program, beat some ass, and get on tv more.

by Rivethead on Oct 5, 2010 11:27 AM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Just an FYI...

Christian French eliminated us from his choices. Down to MU, NU, Iowa, ND, A&M and Oregon. No surprise that we aren’t included in that group.

Questions, Comments? email me at denverjhawk@hotmail.com
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by Owen on Oct 5, 2010 12:02 PM CDT reply actions  

Not sure what's worse

being snubbed or the fact he’s still considering the frickin’ slavers.

build a damn football program, beat some ass, and get on tv more.

by Rivethead on Oct 5, 2010 12:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

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