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Where Will Xavier and CJ (or Lance?) Fit: A Look at the Scholarship Situation

13 scholarships.

That's the limit. This past season, we had 12 scholarship players, including transfer Jeff Withey. Add in incoming recruits Thomas Robinson and Elijah Johnson, and that's 14. Or, one over the limit.

Obviously, that's a problem, although one that occurs countless times over the landscape of college basketball. However, from all indications, Xavier is going to be a Jayhawk. Hopefully, at least. If that does happen, as expected, that's 15 scholarships. Or, 2 over the limit.

Naturally, this is a problem that needs fixing. Not the worst problem in the world, having too much talent as opposed to not enough, but one that needs solving.There are a couple of potential, um, ways this could be resolved. I don't want to use the word 'solution', because it isn't ilke there is some strategy involved of this. This ain't the NBA: there are no cuts. However, as has been repeated over-and-over here at RCT over the last week-or-so, I highly doubt that Self would continue recruiting without an inkling of some changes forthcoming. As they say, these things have a way of working themselves out.

So, with that said, here are the potential events that could transpire to open up the available scholarships for Robinson, Johnson and, hopefully, Henry.

Note: I know that it is dangerous to count your chickens before they hatch, and I'm certainly not fully "expecting" a Xavier Henry commit. Although, it certainly appears as if he is Lawrence-bound, so all of these, um, ways to resolve the situation will be assuming that two scholarships need to be opened up. Two.

Cole and Sherron Go Pro

Really, no matter what their friend says on Twins blogs or what comes out mere hours after a heart-breaking loss, it means very little. Similar reports have come out through the years, with the player sitll ending up sticking in the Draft. No matter what, I would bet that both declare. Now, personally, I would prefer Cole and Sherron to return than any potential recruit to come in. But, it isn't like we have the choice between the two. If both declare for the Draft, as has been expected for awhile, and actually stick it out and get drafted, poof goes our scholarship issue. Still, not a desireable result.

We'll get into whether they should go pro or not later on in the month, but both have interesting pro/con things going on. Both do have some reasons to make the jump now, and it certainly is a possibility we never see either in a Kansas uniform again. I sure hope not, though.

Odds of Occurring: 10%

Other scenarios after the jump...

Star-divide

2 Transfers

I really don't want this to happen. I hate transfers, unless kids just get homesick and it's entirely their decision (Alex Galindo) or they are just too soft and unwilling to get down and play tough defense consistently (Micah Downs). Or, if they just refuse to play child support, or whatever (C.J. Giles). But, for the most part, I just don't like transfers. Two names are being mentioned far more often than any others as far as potential transfers go. Quintrell Thomas and Travis Releford.

Both, in terms of playing time, make some sense. Particularly Quintrell, who figures to be behind approximately 18 people on the depth chart next year, assuming Cole comes back. Honestly, just 5 (Cole, Withey, Robinson, Morris twins). But still, that's a helluva lot. As far as Releford goes, he probably will see a decrease in his PT next season. Most likely even the year after that, unless X is just a one-and-done. But, he figures to be a starter in 2011-2012, if he makes the necessary improvements and all. Redshirt next year, and he still has two years of being a starter to look forward to.

But, just like pro prospects, we'll get into specific transfer situations later. For now, regrettably, this seems to be the end result most are expecting. I hope it doesn't happen, because I think both (especially Releford) can be really good players in Lawrence. But if it's their decision, then it's their decision. Nothing you can do about it.

Odds of Occurring: 20%

Cole or Sherron Go Pro + 1 Transfer

Really, I think this is the most likely scenario. In terms of playing time, I wouldn't be surprised to see Quintrell transfer. Now, from everything I've read, he seems to be happy and cool with the situation and all of that. Still, I just have a feeling that he's gone. I hope not, but just a feeling. And, the more I look at the situation, I really think that at least one of Cole or Sherron will go pro. Again, I really hope not. And, I honestly couldn't tell you which one it will be. But either Sherron will take the money, now, or Cole will realize that he will almost certainly go Top 10 and jump a year too early.

I would like nothing more, though, than to be wrong on that.

Odds of Occurring: 30%

Cole or Sherron Go Pro/1 Transfer + Brady/Whoever Gives Up Scholarship

This is really two scenarios combined, but I found it silly to break it up. Because, if Brady, or whoever, really, would be willing to give up a scholarship, I'd feel infinitely better about the whole situation. And, as of January, he said he would be willing. So, fingers crossed. While it would suck for anyone else to leave, it's pretty much impossible to bring in Xavier and the other recruits without someone living. Well, I suppose two players could giveup schollies, but that'd just feel weird. And be practically impossible, particularly in this economy. So, no.

The real question is, which player would you be most willing to leave. Obviously, it feels silly to pick-and-choose who you wouldn't mind leaving. But, for me, it would have to be Quintrell. I love him, as I love everyone, but he really is way, way deep down on the bigs depth chart. And, he needs so much work, it's quite crazy.

Odds of Occuring: 40%

 

Concluding Thoughts

What do I think will happen? Well, really, it's pretty much impossible to tell. While FHOFNCOYDNCHCBS surely has leads as to potential openings, otherwise he wouldn't still be recruiting, I doubt even he knows exactly what should transpire. But, being my ever-optimistic self, I'll go on the record as Quintrell transfers and Brady gives up his schollie. Please, let this happen. Of all of the potential resolutions, that would be the most tolerable.

 


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Display:

Isn't this a bit of:

Counting your Jayhawks before they hatch? :D I just hope we have to make one of the choices available because X commits. Perhaps COYNCHCBS can simply adopt three or four players and resolve this situation for us. I’d guess one transfer and one player agrees to give up a scholarship for a year. I really have a feeling Sherron & Cole both stay or both go so I’m certainly hoping it’s the latter.

by hunter s. royal on Apr 5, 2009 9:52 PM CDT reply actions  

There have been further reports that...

Cole is intending to comeback. Draftexpress which is one of the better mock draft services says a source close to Kansas has said he will be back. We’ll see, but that would appear to take him off the table and I don’t think Sherron goes either.

Some people are like Slinkies...not really good for anything but they make you smile when pushed down the stairs.

by Owen Kemp on Apr 5, 2009 9:57 PM CDT reply actions  

I wonder if Brady called Dad and Mom

before he said he would be willing to give up his scholarship. If not I can imagine what the Morningstar living room sounded like when they opened up the morning paper that day.

www.rockchalktalk.com for pretty good KU baseball coverage

by James Quinn on Apr 5, 2009 9:57 PM CDT reply actions  

I honestly think that it was...

something his father may have discussed before Brady ever brought it up. Thinking this was something they knew was a possibility.

Some people are like Slinkies...not really good for anything but they make you smile when pushed down the stairs.

by Owen Kemp on Apr 5, 2009 10:00 PM CDT up reply actions  

I still like Self going the adoption route.

There was a book written about Lloyd Daniels, a famous NYC player who had huge academic & drug problems, that detailed how an assistant coach to Jerry Tarkanian literally became Daniels legal guardian to get him to come to UNLV. This conveniently thwarted about 86 different NCAA regulations and let him enroll, but of course Daniels immediately was caught in a videotaped crack bust. I’m sure our man Bill could pull it off however.

by hunter s. royal on Apr 5, 2009 10:24 PM CDT up reply actions  

I miss The Shark

Every time you thought he couldn’t possibly sink lower, he would find a way. He was a gift to all sports writers.

www.rockchalktalk.com for pretty good KU baseball coverage

by James Quinn on Apr 6, 2009 7:43 AM CDT up reply actions  

If i was a one and done-er in this situation..

I would play as a walk-on. Seriously. i would. Probably rack up $20,000 in student loans that one year of school (tops) and then move on to the NBA and make at least $1,000,000 my first year. I would only do this, because I realize how much being a part of a championship team can raise draft stock (see carmelo, chalmers, noah, horford). You have to spend money to make money. :)

by Snakeman on Apr 5, 2009 11:00 PM CDT reply actions  

That's an enormous risk for the player.

What if he blows his knee out? What happens if he comes in with Sherron and Cole still on board and averages 10ppg and does little else? He’s no sure thing, so if he shows up at KU, he needs to come ready to work and play defense on a consistent basis. He needs to accept that he’s going to have to fit into the KU system, one that doesn’t necessarily do great things for an individual player’s numbers (last year being an obvious exception). This team already is so deep and talented that no guy should be the singular star next season. The waves of talent we can throw at teams is going to be a hell of a thing to watch, and I really just don’t see Kansas as a good fit for the one-and-done types. If X comes to Kansas, he should realistically be looking at a 2 year stay unless he just blows up.

by SlamDunkTheFunk on Apr 5, 2009 11:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

even if he averages 10 ppg..

He could still go top 5. Marvin Williams didn’t even start for the 2005 UNC team. I understand that’s a rare occurrence though and I could see him playing two years. I never thought Darrel Arthur or Brandon rush would be around longer than one year and look what happened!

by Snakeman on Apr 5, 2009 11:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

Just watched jeff withey videos..

Wow. Looks athletic for a seven footer!! If he and Cole were on the floor at the same time it would be the white man edition of duncan/robinson! I like what i see.

by Snakeman on Apr 5, 2009 11:25 PM CDT reply actions  

Yes

Worst case, if Cole goes pro we would at least have Withey coming in at the semester, and he’ll have been practicing with the team for a full year.

by hunter s. royal on Apr 5, 2009 11:40 PM CDT up reply actions  

It would be sweet....

to see Cole and Jeff both start but I know that probably won’t happen.

by jco8394 on Apr 5, 2009 11:51 PM CDT up reply actions  

Aghg -

stop it, stop it! I can’t take it.

\Head….exploding.

The Snozberries taste like Snozberries

by labbadabba on Apr 6, 2009 9:21 AM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah and with the weed Whitlock was smoking....

1-Collins
2-Stephenson
3-Henry
4-Withey
5-Aldrich

Undefeated season if we don’t have meltdowns like we did in Lubbock

But of course that’s only in a perfect world….For the rest of us there’s Walgreens

by jco8394 on Apr 6, 2009 1:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

Doubt we see Cole and Jeff on court at the same time

From the one practice I attended, Withey practiced exclusively at the 5. I doubt we see him play the 4. I think there would have to be unusual circumstances (injuries and/or extensive foul trouble for our PFs) before we’d see Cole and Jeff on the floor together. Even under those circumstances, I’m guessing Self would probably go small with 4 guards or put Little at the PF position before he’d play both Cole and Jeff.

In my opinion, next year Withey will be used exclusively to give Cole a breather or step in when Cole is in foul trouble. This all assumes, of course, that Cole returns next year.

by KU_Lew on Apr 6, 2009 1:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'm not the least bit worried

about the scholarship situation for next year. So many things have to happen before it’s a concern in my book – Cole and/or Sherron has to stay in school, nobody transfers, nobody flunks outs, and X or Lance commits to KU. If all those things happen, then I’ll be concerned (in a good way).

by KU_Lew on Apr 6, 2009 12:50 PM CDT reply actions  

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